Precursory change of aftershock activity before large aftershock. A case study for recent earthquakes in China.

Aftershock Identification

Earthquake aftershock identification is closely related to the question “Are aftershocks different from the rest of earthquakes?” We give a positive answer to this question and introduce a general statistical procedure for clustering analysis of seismicity that can be used, in particular, for aftershock detection. The proposed approach expands the analysis of Baiesi and Paczuski [PRE, 69, 06610...

Global Omori law decay of triggered earthquakes: Large aftershocks outside the classical aftershock zone

[1] Triggered earthquakes can be large, damaging, and lethal as evidenced by the1999 shocks in Turkey and the 2001 earthquakes in El Salvador. In this study, earthquakes with Ms 7.0 from the Harvard centroid moment tensor (CMT) catalog are modeled as dislocations to calculate shear stress changes on subsequent earthquake rupture planes near enough to be affected. About 61% of earthquakes that o...

California aftershock hazard forecasts.

1) quantile points at the selected times, S, corresponding to the expected probability and ± 1 SD (Table 1). The standard error in P rapidly decreases with increasing time after the mainshock due to the inclusion of current data. For example, at S = 1 day after the mainshock, the ± 1 SD range about the generic 1-day interval probability (0.052) is 0.034 to 0.075 (Table 1). Rydelek suggests esti...

California aftershock model uncertainties.

Empirical Assessment of Non-Linear Seismic Demand of Mainshock–Aftershock Ground-Motion Sequences for Japanese Earthquakes

This study investigates the effects of earthquake types, magnitudes, and hysteretic behavior on the peak and residual ductility demands of inelastic single-degree-of-freedom systems and evaluates the effects of major aftershocks on the non-linear structural responses. An extensive dataset of real mainshock–aftershock sequences for Japanese earthquakes is developed. The constructed dataset is la...